It’s not long now until main draw play begins at the BNP Paribas Open. Here are five key takeaway’s from Monday’s unveiling of the men's and women's singles draws.
Novak Djokovic’s return to the desert last year didn’t go as planned.
Playing in Indian Wells for the first time since 2019, the 24-time Grand Slam winner fell to a lucky loser then ranked No. 123, Luca Nardi. It marked Djokovic’s first event in more than a month, and in 2025, his form is somewhat uncertain too.
The Serb competed in Doha in February after recovering from the hamstring injury he suffered against Carlos Alcaraz at the Australian Open, but lost to Matteo Berrettini in his opener in a rematch of the 2021 Wimbledon final.
A rematch of the 2022 Wimbledon final — when Djokovic downed Nick Kyrgios — would take place in the second round if the back-from-injury Australian gets past a qualifier. If Djokovic advances, he could then play defending champion Alcaraz in the quarterfinals.
The 37-year-old collected the last of his five titles in Tennis Paradise in 2016 — then lost to Kyrgios in the fourth round a year later.
On the way to winning the title the last two years, Alcaraz faced Daniil Medvedev in the final and Jannik Sinner in the semifinals. Medvedev once again lands in the opposite side of the draw from Alcaraz. But Sinner is currently in the midst of serving a three-month suspension for an anti-doping violation so that semifinal rematch is ruled out.
Alcaraz could play big-serving Frenchman Quentin Halys after a bye and resurgent, often electric Canadian Denis Shapovalov in the third round. That has night match written all over it. Djokovic looms later. Only two men this century have ever won the tournament three years in a row — Djokovic and Roger Federer.
Can Alcaraz join that elite company?
How has Keys played since collecting her first Grand Slam title at the Australian Open?
We just don’t know since the newly turned 30-year-old skipped the Middle East swing and couldn’t play as planned in Austin due to her top 10 return.
Only one top 10 player is allowed at a women’s 250 level tournament and that spot went to Keys’ friend and eventual champion Jessica Pegula.
More will be known after Keys plays Jessica Bouzas Maneiro or Anastasia Potapova in the second round.
If the seedings hold, Keys could encounter fellow Americans Emma Navarro in the fourth round and Coco Gauff in the quarterfinals. However, Keys has struggled to advance past the fourth round in Indian Wells, making just one quarterfinal in 2022.
Like Alcaraz, Iga Swiatek bids for a third title after her successes in 2022 and 2024. Both times, the Pole capped her event by topping Maria Sakkari.
Every year from 2021 onwards, she entered Indian Wells with a title already under her belt — but that isn’t the case in 2025.
Keys saved a match point to beat Swiatek in the Australian Open semifinals before Jelena Ostapenko and Mirra Andreeva upended the former No. 1 in Doha and Dubai, respectively.
Her quarter is littered with seeded peers who have all beaten her — Ons Jabeur, Karolina Muchova, Paula Badosa, Linda Noskova, Zheng Qinwen and Yulia Putintseva.
And even though Caroline Garcia — a possible first opponent — has lost five of her last six matches, she has also defeated the five-time major winner.
No. 1 BNP Paribas Open seeds Aryna Sabalenka and Alexander Zverev both experienced pain at the Australian Open.
While Sinner gave Zverev little chance in the men’s final — the German thought he was ready to win his maiden major — Keys edged top-ranked Sabalenka 7-5 in the third set of the women’s final.
They’ve both struggled since, compiling a combined 5-5 record. Will their fortunes change in Indian Wells?
Sabalenka saved four match points in her first match in 2024 against Peyton Stearns and might tangle with another American, McCartney Kessler, after a bye.
Kessler just reached her second final of the season in Austin and sits at a near career high of 48th.
Zverev is sure to meet an in-form player, too, either Miomir Kecmanovic or Tallon Griekspoor.
Kecmanovic won the title in Delray Beach in February by saving a pair of match points while Griekspoor is coming off a semifinal showing in Dubai. Zverev upended Griekspoor in Indian Wells 12 months ago after the Dutchman couldn’t capitalize on two straight set points in the first set.